Modelling CO2 emissions between china and Taiwan using lotka-volterra equations

Bi-Huei Tsai*, Chun Hsien Chang

*Corresponding author for this work

研究成果: Conference contribution同行評審

摘要

To our knowledge, this study explores the correlation between the CO2 emissions of regions with close industrial interdependence by using Lyapunov functions for the first time. Analytical results indicate that China's increasing imports of semi-finished products from Taiwan have led to a decline in China's fossil fuel consumption, subsequently lowering its CO2 emission growth rate. The industrial dependence between Taiwan and China markedly affected CO2 emissions of the latter. The analysis results of Lyapunov function reveal that the future trajectory of CO2 emissions from China and Taiwan will fail to reach stable equilibrium points. Their increased CO2 emissions cannot be absorbed entirely by plants through photosynthesis, implying that the excessive CO2 emissions from Taiwan and China will create ecological imbalances and worsen continuously. Any change in such CO2 emissions from Taiwan and China depends on how their industries are related. In terms of forecasting accuracy, the proposed Lotka-Volterra model can accurately predict future CO2 emissions from China and Taiwan since this model considers both the previous CO2 emissions in one region, and the economic competition and cooperation between these two regions. Results of this study significantly contribute to the efforts of governmental authorities in promulgating environmental policies.

原文English
主出版物標題Proceedings of the World Congress on Civil, Structural, and Environmental Engineering, CSEE 2016
發行者Avestia Publishing
ISBN(列印)9781927877180
DOIs
出版狀態Published - 1 一月 2016
事件Proceedings of the World Congress on Civil, Structural, and Environmental Engineering, CSEE 2016 - Prague, Czech Republic
持續時間: 30 三月 201631 三月 2016

出版系列

名字World Congress on Civil, Structural, and Environmental Engineering
ISSN(電子)2371-5294

Conference

ConferenceProceedings of the World Congress on Civil, Structural, and Environmental Engineering, CSEE 2016
國家Czech Republic
城市Prague
期間30/03/1631/03/16

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