Estimating the risk of river flow under climate change in the Tsengwen River Basin

Hsiao Ping Wei*, Keh-Chia Yeh, Jun Jih Liou, Yung Ming Chen, Chao Tzuen Cheng

*Corresponding author for this work

研究成果: Article同行評審

5 引文 斯高帕斯(Scopus)

摘要

This study evaluated the overflow risk of the Tsengwen River under a climate change scenario by using bias-corrected dynamic downscaled data as inputs for a SOBEK model (Deltares, the Netherlands). The results showed that the simulated river flow rate at Yufeng Bridge (upstream), Erxi Bridge (midstream), and XinZong (1) (downstream) stations are at risk of exceeding the management plan's flow rate for three projection periods (1979-2003, 2015-2039, 2075-2099). After validation with the geomorphic and hydrological data collected in this study, the frequency at which the flow rate exceeded the design flood was 2 in 88 events in the base period (1979-2003), 6 in 82 events in the near future (2015-2039), and 10 in 81 events at the end of the century (2075-2099).

原文English
文章編號81
期刊Water (Switzerland)
8
發行號3
DOIs
出版狀態Published - 1 三月 2016

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