Post-SARS tourist arrival recovery patterns: An analysis based on a catastrophe theory

Chi Kuo Mao, Cherng G. Ding*, Hsiu Yu Lee

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

59 Scopus citations

Abstract

In 2003, the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) ravaged many Asian countries. The outbreak of SARS caused a crisis in the tourism industry in many parts of Asia in that year. The purpose of this study is to examine and to compare the post-SARS recovery patterns of inbound arrivals from Japan, Hong Kong and USA in Taiwan. Taking the cusp catastrophe model as its foundation, this study proposes a well-grounded approach to understanding the nature of the recovery processes and to explaining the difference between the recovery patterns displayed by arrivals from Japan and those from Hong Kong and USA. Implications regarding tourism promotion policies are drawn from the analysis.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)855-861
Number of pages7
JournalTourism Management
Volume31
Issue number6
DOIs
StatePublished - 1 Dec 2010

Keywords

  • Cusp catastrophe system
  • Hysteresis effect
  • SARS
  • Threshold

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