Consideration of highway safety studies in a time-space domain is used to introduce the concept that different study designs result in different underlying probability distributions describing accident occurrence. Poisson regression is proposed as a superior alternative to conventional linear regression for many safety studies because it requires smaller sample sizes and has other desirable statistical properties. Models are estimated using accident, travel mileage, and environmental data from the Indiana Toll Road. A pooled model including all accidents revealed that accident occurrence increases with automobile vehicle miles of travel (VMT), truck VMT, and hours of snowfall.
|Number of pages||10|
|Journal||Transportation Research Record|
|State||Published - 1 Dec 1986|